Projected Final Standings

With the NCAA Tournament looming just around the corner, the bubble is the main topic on everyone's minds. People are coming up with scenarios for various teams on the fence to see if they would make the Tournament with a certain finish. For instance, several experts say things like "Well, if so and so finishes 2-1 down the stretch and wins a game in their conference tournament, they should be in." I began thinking about that, and decided to project the final records of every major conference team and every team with a shot at the NCAA Tournament as an at-large team, including tie-breakers for seedings in the conference tournaments. The records also include how I think they will do in their respective conference tournaments. Without further ado, here is how I think every team will finish the season heading into the Selection Show on March 11th:

Projections made after games played on Wednesday, February 21st.

Italics identify projected conference tournament winner

ACC
1. North Carolina: 29-5 (12-4)
2. Virginia: 21-9 (12-4)
3. Virginia Tech: 22-10 (11-5)
4. Boston College: 19-12 (10-6)
5. Maryland: 25-9 (9-7)
6. Duke: 23-10 (8-8)
7. Georgia Tech: 20-12 (7-9)
8. Clemson: 21-10 (7-9)
9. Florida State: 20-12 (7-9)
10. North Carolina State: 15-15 (5-11)
11. Wake Forest: 13-17 (4-12)
12. Miami: 11-20 (4-12)

Big East
1. Georgetown: 26-6 (14-2)
2. Louisville: 22-9 (12-4)
3. Pittsburgh: 28-6 (12-4)
4. Notre Dame: 23-7 (11-5)
5. Marquette: 24-9 (10-6)
6. Providence: 19-11 (9-7)
7. West Virginia: 20-9 (9-7)
8. DePaul: 17-13 (9-7)
9. Villanova: 21-10 (9-7)
10. Syracuse: 20-12 (8-8)
11. St. John's: 17-15 (7-9)
12. Connecticut: 17-14 (6-10)
13. Seton Hall: 12-16 (4-12)
14. South Florida 12-18: (3-13)
15. Rutgers: 9-19 (3-13)
16. Cincinnati: 11-19 (2-14)

Big Ten
1. Ohio State: 29-4 (15-1)
2. Wisconsin: 30-4 (13-3)
3. Indiana: 21-10 (10-6)
4. Iowa: 18-13 (10-6)
5. Purdue: 21-11 (9-7)
6. Illinois: 23-11 (9-7)
7. Michigan State: 22-11 (8-8)
8. Michigan: 20-10 (7-9)
9. Minnesota: 10-21 (4-12)
10. Northwestern: 11-18 (2-14)
11. Penn State: 10-20 (1-15)

Big 12
1. Kansas: 29-5 (14-2)
2. Texas A&M: 28-5 (13-3)
3. Texas: 23-9 (12-4)
4. Kansas State: 21-11 (10-6)
5. Texas Tech: 21-12 (9-7)
6. Nebraska: 18-12 (8-8)
7. Missouri: 19-12 (7-9)
8. Oklahoma State: 21-11 (7-9)
9. Oklahoma: 14-15 (6-10)
10. Iowa State: 13-17 (5-11)
11. Baylor: 12-17 (3-13)
12. Colorado: 6-21 (2-14)

Pac-10
1. Washington State: 28-5 (15-3)
2. UCLA: 28-4 (15-3)
3. Stanford: 19-11 (11-7)
4. USC: 22-11 (11-7)
5. Oregon: 22-9 (10-8)
6. Arizona: 20-11 (10-8)
7. Washington: 19-13 (8-10)
8. California: 16-16 (7-11)
9. Oregon State: 9-22 (2-16)
10. Arizona State: 6-23 (1-17)

SEC
East
1. Florida: 31-3 (15-1)
2. Vanderbilt: 22-10 (11-5)
3. Georgia: 18-12 (9-7)
4. Kentucky: 22-11 (9-7)
5. Tennessee: 20-13 (7-9)
6. South Carolina: 14-16 (4-12)

West
1. Mississippi State: 17-13 (8-8)
2. Alabama: 22-10 (8-8)
3. Mississippi: 20-12 (8-8)
4. Arkansas: 18-13 (7-9)
5. Auburn: 15-16 (6-10)
6. LSU: 15-16 (4-12)

Missouri Valley
1. Southern Illinois: 27-5 (15-3)
2. Creighton: 21-11 (13-5)
3. Missouri State: 21-10 (12-6)
4. Bradley: 20-12 (10-8)
5. Northern Iowa: 17-13 (9-9)
6. Wichita State: 16-14 (8-10)

Colonial
1. VCU: 27-6 (16-2)
2. Old Dominion: 25-8 (15-3)
3. Hofstra: 22-9 (14-4)
4. Drexel: 22-8 (13-5)

Mountain West
1. Air Force: 26-6 (12-4)
2. BYU: 22-9 (12-4)
3. UNLV: 27-6 (12-4)
4. San Diego State: 21-9 (11-5)

WAC
1. Nevada: 28-3 (15-1)
2. New Mexico State: 25-7 (12-4)
3. Utah State: 22-10 (11-5)

Atlantic-10
1. Xavier: 26-7 (13-3)
2. Massachusetts: 25-8 (13-3)

Horizon
1. Wright State: 24-8 (14-2)
2. Butler: 26-5 (14-2)

West Coast
1. Santa Clara: 23-7 (12-2)
2. Gonzaga: 22-11 (11-3)

Southern
1. Davidson: 27-4 (17-1)
2. Appalachian State: 23-7 (15-3)

Note: Winthrop (Big South) and Memphis (Conference-USA) will go undefeated the rest of the way in the regular season, and will also win their respective conference tournaments.