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Thursday, February 17, 2005

Virginia Tech Going to the Tournament?

After the upset win over Duke, all the talk is about Virginia Tech being the surprise team in the ACC and getting a possible NCAA Tournament berth. Well, you can calm down with that talk for a few minutes. Going into the game, the Hokies had an RPI of 136 and a SOS of 128. You can make a case that the RPI is going to go up as a result of the win over the Blue Devils, but unless it skyrockets 80 spots, Virginia Tech would not be in if the committee chose the teams tomorrow morning. With non-conference losses to Virginia Military Institute (324 RPI) and St. John's (187), the Hokies don't really have any marquee non-league victories. Their best win came at home against Chatanooga. However, conference wins over Duke and NC State at home and Georgia Tech and Miami (Fl.) on the road, Virginia Tech still has a chance. Now tied for fourth in the ACC at 6-6 and 13-10 overall, the Hokies have four remaining games. Lucky for them, the schedule was very kind. Miami (Fl.) at home on Saturday is a great game for the Hokies. They have already won on the road against the Hurricanes, and this is a must-win game. After that, they have two road games at Clemson and at NC State (who, by the way, could be on the bubble in the coming days). Both of those games are also winnable. They defeated the Wolfpack and the Tigers at home by a combined three points. If they win all three of those games, they will stand at 16-10 overall, and 9-6 in the conference with one game left at home against Maryland. Again, Virginia Tech can win this game. If they win out the rest of the way, Virginia Tech will get a bid to the NCAA Tournament. But as of right now, I can't say that the Hokies would be in.

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